Market view for 12th Aug

Yes we can see a price reversal in some of the base metals now however volume and open interest are still not supporting strongly. Trade accordingly.

crude behavior is still same. Highly volatile. After making day's high yesterday it made a new day low. Looks somewhat on negative side.

Gold & Silver are also showing the same behavior. No change at all.

Same is the case with Natural Gas. Weak but volatile.

Market view for 11th August

After yesterday's sessions some sort of weakness is witnessed in all the base metals except Nickel. It could be a possible reversal but not confirmed yet. One thing is sure that sentiments are changing, more sellers are coming and buyers are exiting & booking profits. Confirmation of reversal is yet to come.

Crude also shows some sort of change in behavior. Still highly volatile & non directional so better avoid.

Gold & Silver also displayed some selling pressure on higher levels & are not able to sustain there. Yesterday huge profit booking is seen in both the counters. Some more correction can be seen in them but overall they are still good for longs.

Natural Gas is still weak but non trending & volatile.

Market view for 10th August

Base metals have shown some correction & again went up swiftly. As I said they are in a very strong uptrend so any correction in them can be used to enter longs with strict SL. We had initiated shorts and booked some profits but later trailing SL got hit as there was a sharp bounce.

Crude has been extremely volatile in last few sessions. Its behaving like a wild cat which cant be controlled. As I said that 3327 was support and 3482 was resistance, so far it has managed to obey that range but was highly volatile. Trend is still up & dips can be used to buy.

Gold & Silver still looks strong. As mentioned quite early Silver is going great & already given more than 1000 points from the entry point. Gold is also following it & getting stronger. The day Gold will close above 15025 will make it even more stronger for new highs...Keep an eye

Natural Gas is another counter which is not getting stable from last 2-3 months. It has been giving both side movements & a proper up or downtrend is not getting established. When it goes up it goes up like a rocket and when it falls down it falls like a knife. Mostly on its inventory days it shows such movements. Right now it is on a little weaker side but a very nice support is yet to be broken before any major downfall can be seen. I expect a nice bounce from that support.

Market view for 6th Aug

Base metals as mentioned are making new highs everyday and killing bears badly. I am sure most of the small investors who have initiated shorts when metals started rising must have booked huge losses by now & some may be about to book. The interesting part in this rally is that open interest is not getting increased which means that new positions are not building up so it can be a fake rally and profit booking can take place anytime. Ideally any rise or fall should be accompanied by an increase in the open interest which is not the case here. Another interesting factor is that in $ Copper is almost reached the level from where the real fall has started in September 2008 so that level will act as a stiff resistance. Again I am not saying that you short here because trend is still up but the chances & probability is that Copper wont cross 301.65 and should fall from here. Also some more metals like Zinc is also at a decent resistance of 91.65 on weekly charts. Lets see what we have in bucket hereafter.

Crude as mentioned has taken a beautiful support at 3327 and bounced back sharply for 3415. It is still up...

Gold & Silver are also up and can be bought on dips.

Natural Gas is looking somewhat positive so we made some money intraday in it by going long at 188.70 for target of 197 intraday. Met 3rd target of 195 and settled down at 2nd target. It is somewhat positive but the real strength will be on a close above 200. Keep an eye...

Market view for 5th Aug

Base metals are still going strong. Although all of them are in the overbought zone but so far there is no sign of reversal. Also the very important part is trend is getting stronger so until trend gets change we should remain long. All efforts to pick up the top would go in vain. So be with the trend and enjoy !!!!

Crude still looks good and is in positive zone. 3327 is the support and 3482 is the range to move.

As mentioned yesterday Silver was looking very strong so we traded a positional long call in Silver and 3 targets met intraday only. Gold itself was not so strong but was pulled up by Silver. Now after yesterday's rise Gold also looks good for longs. Exact levels only for clients.

Natural Gas is still non trending and below lots of resistances. Now it has made a nice support in 184-186 zone so any further weakness will come only below it. Short term looks good to buy near support but until it closes above 200 the real strength wont come. Lets see when it happens.

Market view for 4th Aug

As mentioned base metals are going very strong. Everyday they are making new highs. Any dip in them can be used to go long.

Crude is also looking positive. 3491 seems to be next target in it.

Gold is not showing as good strength as Silver. There is an important level and a close above that would make GOLD strong for longs. Silver looks good for longs..

Natural Gas inspite of being negative has risen with a strong momemtum and volume. Trend is still not clear so we would avoid until it breaks out clearly.

Market View for 3rd August

Base metals still looks good & all of them are in super uptrend. They are buy on dips items.

Crude also looks good for longs and can be bought on dips.

Gold & Silver would remain volatile so trade accordingly.

Natural Gas looks negative and can be a short on rise.

Market view for 31st July

Yesterday base metals have shown a decent recovery. The volatile move was expected but it was for both the sides however we have seen it only for upside. It tells that they are still in a decent uptrend and weakness is not visible soon. Every dip should be used to buy until some long term supports are broken. Let the expiry day go by and we will start fresh positions from tomorrow.

Crude was also weak however it has bounced back unexpectedly and has ditched up all the bears. Only short term intraday positions can be taken based on intraday signals.

Gold & Silver have shown some sort of recovery after huge profit booking day before yesterday. I would still like to short them at resistances.

Natural Gas also bounced back unexpectedly inspite of being in a decent downtrend. It was weak till inventory and a sudden spurt was seen after inventory and it was consistent till the end. The long term momemtum is still down but short term its up. So better to avoid it till both matches.

Market View for 30th July

We have seen more some correction yesterday in base metals. Book partial profits as well. We can see some more downside from here. Being the expiry tomorrow we can see some volatility today and tomorrow.

Crude Oil as expected fell badly and even it broke the important support of 3115. We have booked profits in Crude as well. It is still weak and we can see more downfall. Exact levels only for clients.

We have booked profits in Gold & Silver as well and we have entered shorted on the very first sign. Some important levels are on the way so we need to see if they take support there or will break them this time.

Natural Gas as expected fell and met all targets intraday. This is power of picking up commodity at the start of a new trend. Its still weak for more downside. Exact levels only for clients...

What I believe in is - Trade less but trade good. There is no need to do 10-15 trades a day or trade everyday but when you trade you should make money. What matters is quality and not quantity. We are here to earn ourselves and we are not here to make our brokers rich..so join us and be on the right side of the market...Always !!!!

Market view for 29th July

As I said that its time to stay cautious in base metals because all of them were in overbought zone and a correction was due. We have seen some sign of correction/profit booking yesterday in all the counters. We can still see more downside now. Also expiry is coming near so we may see some volatile moves so trade cautiously.

Crude also can show some more short term selling. We may see it coming down to 3115 levels.

Gold & Silver also in short term sell more. Yesterday informed clients on the very first sign and intraday got decent profits in both the counters.

Natural Gas seems to have entered a new downtrend. More fall to be witnessed.